Tìm kiếm: fear & greed index

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ABN is deeply involved in blockchain as a technology. Blockchain is still working khổng lồ gain global adoption. Greed & Fear play a large role in people’s adoption of the Blockchain technology (not just the currencies). Hence we include the Crypto Fear & Greed index in our publication.

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Below is how the math works out.

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Why Measure Fear và Greed?

The crypto market behaviour is very emotional. People tend to lớn get greedy when the market is rising which results in FOMO (Fear of missing out). Also, people often sell their coins in irrational reaction of seeing red numbers. With our Fear and Greed Index, we try lớn save you from your own emotional overreactions. There are two simple assumptions:

Extreme fear can be a sign that investors are too worried. That could be a buying opportunity.When Investors are getting too greedy, that means the market is due for a correction.

Therefore, we analyze the current sentiment of the Bitcoin market và crunch the numbers into a simple meter from 0 lớn 100. Zero means "Extreme Fear", while 100 means "Extreme Greed". See below for further information on our data sources.

Data Sources

We are gathering data from the five following sources. Each data point is valued the same as the day before in order to lớn visualize a meaningful progress in sentiment change of the crypto market.

First of all, the current index is for bitcoin only (we offer separate indices for large alt coins soon), because a big part of it is the volatility of the coin price.

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But let’s danh mục all the different factors we’re including in the current index:

Volatility (25 %)

We’re measuring the current volatility và max. Drawdowns of bitcoin & compare it with the corresponding average values of the last 30 days và 90 days. We argue that an unusual rise in volatility is a sign of a fearful market.

Market Momentum/Volume (25%)

Also, we’re measuring the current volume and market momentum (again in comparison with the last 30/90 day average values) and put those two values together. Generally, when we see high buying volumes in a positive market on a daily basis, we conclude that the market acts overly greedy / too bullish.

Social truyền thông media (15%)

While our reddit sentiment analysis is still not in the live index (we’re still experimenting some market-related key words in the text processing algorithm), our twitter analysis is running. There, we gather & count posts on various hashtags for each coin (publicly, we show only those for Bitcoin) and kiểm tra how fast & how many interactions they receive in certain time frames). A unusual high interaction rate results in a grown public interest in the coin and in our eyes, corresponds to lớn a greedy market behaviour.

Surveys (15%) currently paused

Together with strawpoll.com (disclaimer: we own this site, too), quite a large public polling platform, we’re conducting weekly crypto polls & ask people how they see the market. Usually, we’re seeing 2,000 – 3,000 votes on each poll, so we do get a picture of the sentiment of a group of crypto investors. We don’t give those results too much attention, but it was quite useful in the beginning of our studies. You can see some recent results here.

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Dominance (10%)

The dominance of a coin resembles the market cap nội dung of the whole crypto market. Especially for Bitcoin, we think that a rise in Bitcoin dominance is caused by a fear of (and thus a reduction of) too speculative alt-coin investments, since Bitcoin is becoming more & more the safe haven of crypto. On the other side, when Bitcoin dominance shrinks, people are getting more greedy by investing in more risky alt-coins, dreaming of their chance in next big bull run. Anyhow, analyzing the dominance for a coin other than Bitcoin, you could argue the other way round, since more interest in an alt-coin may conclude a bullish/greedy behaviour for that specific coin.

Trends (10%)

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